Technology predicted to replace 80% of what doctors do: challenges to overcome for senior health innovations

If you, like me, believe that technological innovations are key to providing better care to seniors at a reasonable cost, then Vinod Kholsa’s recent article on technology and doctoring is a must read.

Kholsa predicts that “computers will replace 80% of what doctors do and amplify their capabilities.”

I myself am all for getting technology to currently do — or help me do — many of the tasks that are involved in my line of doctoring: comprehensive high-quality primary care to seniors with multiple chronic medical problems, as well as to frailer elders with geriatric problems such as cognitive impairment, falls, and overall declines in function and independence.

I especially appreciate Kholsa’s emphasis on the very sensible ways technology can augment clinician’s capabilities (like capturing and processing data), and allow us to focus on what we might do best (the human relationships parts of medicine). I really can’t wait for the day when I can focus on relationships and helping families navigate their healthcare challenges, rather than getting bogged down in data chasing (how often is she agitated at night? when did she poop? what labs has she had? what meds is she taking?) and communication issues (what did the oncologist tell you? what medications have others prescribed for you?).

So my question is, when and how do we make this happen for the healthcare of older adults?

The challenge of getting technology to replace what doctors for seniors do

The thing is, it’s much easier to get technology to do 80% of what my doctor does, compared to getting technology to do 80% of what I do as a doctor.

I’m a healthy 36 year old woman. My doctor mainly needs to help me with prevention, healthy lifestyle choices, and family planning.

Whereas when I provide medical care to my patients, I do much much more. That’s because my patients have multiple chronic problems, many of them at advanced stages, plus often cognitive impairment and physical limitations.

It should go without saying that it’s by providing tech assistance in the care of the more medically complex patients that we collectively stand to gain the greatest benefits, both in terms of improving the quality of care for individual patients (and families!) as well as getting better value for the money society spends on healthcare.

There are certainly some very complicated pediatric patients, and younger adult patients. However overall, the bulk of illness (and healthcare spending) is concentrated in older adults.

Everyone agrees on the need to treat chronic illnesses upstream, and in the outpatient setting. But unfortunately, as best I can tell, most healthcare tech innovations are NOT geared towards facilitating high-quality outpatient care of seniors with multiple problems.

Why? I’ve been trying to figure this out, and here’s what I’ve come up with so far.

Why it’s hard to design useful healthcare tech innovations for the primary care of older adults with multiple chronic problems

• Medicine emphasizes a disease-based focus, so technology has done the same. Even though primary care doctors must often deal with multi-morbidity (patients having several chronic illnesses), healthcare is still mainly organized and specialized along disease-based lines. Many healthcare tech innovations seem to be following suit, possibly because the developers tend to team up with a specialist in the clinical area. Also, a number of tech innovations are spearheaded by a young tech-savvy person with a given disease. (Will we have to wait until the tech developers hit their 60s and are suffering from multi-morbidity before we get tools designed for people with multiple illnesses? I hope not!)

• A narrower focus is easier to design solutions for for than a broader one. We already have this problem in research: easier to design and conduct a good study when you focus narrowly on a certain population and exclude the messy complex people with additional health diagnoses (or trouble taking their meds). Unfortunately, in the real world of clinical care for older adults, many patients have messy and complex health needs. And/or don’t take their meds. This has made it hard to apply research findings to them, and is going to make it hard to apply many tech solutions.

• Older people are perceived as less inclined to use technology. There is definitely something to this. I’m not even very old and I see a big difference in how people ten years my junior are integrating technology into their lives. So this adds to the design challenge for the innovators: designing solutions for seniors means figuring out how to meet them where they are technologically, and how to make things extremely user-friendly. Added twist: the way older people use technology is rapidly evolving, and partly depends on what kind of technology is available.

• Technology for the health of older adults requires more interfacing with clinicians. In other words, if you design a tool meant to help an older adult manage a medical problem, you need to design something that works for the patient, AND the clinician. Two users is harder than one. Even if it’s a nominal clinical interface (like all the web portals for each app; please note that we doctors will probably not be willing to log into more than 1-2), it’s still more work than designing some wellness app for consumers to use on their own.

• Technology for the health of older adults needs to be accessible to those with limitations, and accessible to caregivers. Specifically, many older adults have physical limitations (vision, hearing, finger dexterity) as well as cognitive limitations (dementia) which could affect their ability to use a technological health tool. Plus older adults with limitations are often being assisted by family or paid caregivers, so tech tools need to accomodate that as well. Add another two ticks to the list of design challenges.

• The business case is trickier for the Medicare population. Who will pay for the use of the technology? Will it be the insurer? The patient/consumer? The family? The ACO? These questions seem to be especially uncertain when it comes to the Medicare population. As the perceived business case is very important to the innovators and entrepreneurs, this may be why they aren’t focusing as much on developing solutions for older adults.

• Healthcare for seniors is perceived as less consumer-driven than healthcare for younger adults. This is probably a combination of insurance issues and cultural issues. More and more younger adults are either uninsured or under-insured for primary care; this means there is more of an opportunity to directly offer them technological solutions for their health needs. Whereas older adults obviously have Medicare. On the cultural side, older people are more likely to accept the old-fashioned model of medicine in which the doctor takes care of things, and you try to do what the doctor tells you. (I know this because my patients often ask me to tell them what to do.) As Kholsa points out, consumer-driven healthcare is a powerful partner for healthcare tech innovation. But since consumer demands tilts towards the young, innovative solutions are tilting towards them too.

• Regulatory issues are trickier, the more medical a technology solution is. How these mobile health and other new technologies will be regulated by the FDA is up in the air. In the meantime, personalized medical information = protected health information, which means it’s subject to HIPAA. This presumably complicates things if you are trying to design an innovative solution meant to help older patients manage their health. For instance, I recently blogged about patients needing help implementing the multiple recommendations we clinicians usually have for them. Would a solution need to be HIPAA compliant? Probably.

• Healthcare emphasizes hospitals and transitions more than regular outpatient care. Hospitals are where most of the healthcare dollars are spent, have more data on what’s going on, and are also more visible to most academics and other experts in healthcare. Guess where ACOs are going to be focusing their efforts (and sponsoring technology to support this)? It’s not on the average outpatient senior. It’ll be on the “high-utilizers,” i.e. the ones with frequent hospitals and transitions. In principle everyone wants to help people in the outpatient setting before they become high utilizers, but in practice the attention goes to where the money and clout is.

These are the main factors I’ve identified so far. Does anyone have additional ones to add to the list, or comments on these?

And how to work around these factors? Given the above factors, it seems fairly daunting for a tech start-up to create innovations for the primary care of seniors, unless foundations were to step in and provide a much needed boost. (Is there an RWJF Pioneer-like program for outpatient health innovations, for seniors with multiple medical problems?)

Now I don’t want to say that no one has thought about meeting the outpatient healthcare needs of seniors. But I do see the innovations tilting towards the younger and less medically complex. Which is understandable, but regrettable from a senior/geriatric public health perspective. (See last week’s post for my plea that mHealth help me help my patients, who need more than wellness and help making better lifestyle choices.)

 

In a nutshell:

Healthcare technology innovations are disproportionately oriented towards the needs of younger, more tech-adept individuals. Older adults have more complex healthcare needs. They (and us as a society) stand to gain the most from technology improving healthcare, and amplifying the capabilities of clinicians to provide care. But their healthcare needs are harder for the innovators to meet. So, if we want technology to help us with the healthcare of seniors, we will have our work cut out for us.

My latest list of why it’s hard to provide good tech tools to my patients is above. I’d love some help revising and refining it.

As always, comments and suggestions as to how to harness healthcare tech innovation in the service of better outpatient care for seniors will be much appreciated.